Rising Costs and Stockpile Processing Pose Challenges for Evolution Mining’s FY26 Margins

Evolution Mining has delivered record cash flow for FY25, meeting its original production and cost guidance amid high metal prices, while setting a confident outlook for FY26 with continued strong cash generation expected.

  • Record FY25 Group cash flow of $787 million and operating mine cash flow of $2.3 billion
  • Safety improved with a 35% reduction in total recordable injury frequency (TRIF)
  • Gearing reduced to 15% after $220 million debt repayments, with no debt due until July 2026
  • FY26 production guidance of 710-780koz gold and 70-80kt copper with AISC of $1,720-1,880/oz
  • Key projects advancing, Mungari mill expansion commissioning and Cowal Open Pit Continuation approved
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Strong Financial Performance Amid High Metal Prices

Evolution Mining Limited (ASX – EVN) has reported a standout financial year for FY25, delivering record Group cash flow of $787 million and operating mine cash flow of $2.3 billion. This performance aligns with the company’s original guidance and has been underpinned by consistent operational delivery and the benefit of elevated gold and copper prices throughout the year.

The June quarter alone saw Group cash flow surge 49% to $308 million, with operating mine cash flow reaching $697 million. Notably, operations such as Mungari and Red Lake posted record quarterly cash flows, signaling a broad-based strength across the portfolio.

Operational Milestones and Safety Improvements

Safety remains a priority, with the Group achieving its lowest total recordable injury frequency (TRIF) of 4.98, a 35% improvement over the previous year. This reflects ongoing commitment to workforce wellbeing and operational discipline.

Operationally, Evolution met its full-year production targets with 751,000 ounces of gold and 76,000 tonnes of copper produced. The company also maintained cost discipline, reporting an All-in Sustaining Cost (AISC) of $1,572 per ounce, which includes a higher royalty cost linked to the strong gold price achieved.

Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Management

Evolution’s balance sheet has strengthened significantly, with gearing reduced to 15% from 25% at the start of the year, following $220 million in debt repayments. The company holds a robust cash balance of $760 million and undrawn revolving credit facilities totaling $525 million, providing ample liquidity and flexibility.

Capital investment for FY25 was disciplined, with guidance for FY26 set at $780-980 million, approximately $200 million lower than FY25, reflecting a focus on efficient capital allocation.

Looking Ahead – FY26 Guidance and Growth Projects

Evolution has provided FY26 guidance anticipating production of 710,000 to 780,000 ounces of gold and 70,000 to 80,000 tonnes of copper. The AISC is expected to rise modestly to between $1,720 and $1,880 per ounce, influenced by controlled inflation and increased processing of stockpiled ore from completed open pits.

Key projects are progressing well. The Mungari mill expansion is on track for commercial production in the first half of FY26, while the Cowal Open Pit Continuation project has received board and regulatory approval, extending mine life and operational capacity. Exploration success continues to support growth potential, with encouraging high-grade drilling results at Mungari and Northparkes.

Management Commentary

Managing Director and CEO Lawrie Conway highlighted the company’s achievements – “We set out to return to safe, reliable, and consistent performance to meet guidance and generate significant cash flow. Thanks to our dedicated team, we have delivered $2.3 billion in operating mine cash flow and $787 million in Group cash flow, while maintaining capital discipline and building cash margins that we expect to sustain in FY26.”

Bottom Line?

With record cash flow behind it and key projects advancing, Evolution Mining is well positioned to sustain momentum into FY26 amid a supportive gold price environment.

Questions in the middle?

  • How will inflation and stockpile processing impact Evolution’s cost structure and margins in FY26?
  • What are the potential risks or delays associated with the Cowal Open Pit Continuation and Mungari mill expansion projects?
  • How might evolving commodity prices and minimal hedging exposure affect Evolution’s cash flow volatility going forward?